“In fact, compared with the northern region, the sun in Guangdong is more brilliant.†In late November 2012, Shen Hui, director of the Solar Energy Research Institute of Sun Yat-sen University, pointed out at the Shunde Distributed Photovoltaic Power Forum that the external trade environment of the domestic PV industry continued to deteriorate and develop. The domestic PV market has become the only way for domestic PV companies to get out of the predicament.
Among them, the Guangdong market may be the best application market for the domestic PV industry. Because Guangdong's economy is developed and lacks electricity, Guangdong's photovoltaic power generation has a higher economic value. More importantly, most of the domestic PV manufacturers are struggling to survive and die, and Guangdong also has a number of stable PV manufacturers.
“In the past, the industry believed that there were many rainy and rainy weather in Guangdong, which was not conducive to photovoltaic power generation. But in fact, Guangdong’s solar energy resources are very rich, and it is often raining to wash battery components. The actual effect of power generation is better than that of the northern region.†Shen Hui believes that today, the world The cold winter of the photovoltaic industry may be an opportunity for the rise of the Guangdong PV industry. After all, in the past ten years, the Guangdong PV industry has lost too many opportunities.
Shen Hui often used the Xiaomanwa TV Tower, which has become the landmark of Guangzhou, as a case of missing photovoltaic opportunities. Because, at that time, among the three major programs that were selected for the Guangzhou TV Tower, in addition to the small waist, there was also a photovoltaic building plan designed by the Berlin architectural firm in Germany.
“The plan is to design a 15-meter long corridor under the Guangzhou TV Tower. The front of the tower is all solar cells. There are several wind turbines and huge hot wheels on the tower. The whole photovoltaic and wind power can meet the needs of the whole building. It is unfortunate that the program has not been adopted.†Shen Hui said that Guangdong is the earliest source of China's photovoltaic industry. Before 2004, Guangdong's PV industry output value ranked first in the country, but now it is far behind. It is.
Sore place
It is reported that from 2004 to 2010, due to the sharp enlargement of the European PV market, especially the German market, China's PV industry has ushered in seven years of high-growth gold. Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Hebei and Jiangxi have introduced various preferential policies and vigorously developed. Photovoltaic industry.
“Guangdong missed the seven years of gold development.†Shen Hui pointed out that Guangdong had born the earliest batch of crystalline silicon battery manufacturers in China, such as Tuo Rixin (002218.SZ) and Weiwei (300317.SZ). The solar lighting industry originated in Guangdong has triggered the domestic photovoltaic industry. "At that time, foreign solar cell companies such as BP and RWE were losing money, and China's solar lawn lights and garden lamp enterprises were booming."
Due to the lack of preferential policies for photovoltaic industry in Guangdong, many Guangdong PV companies have moved out. Dongguan CSG PV will move its main business to Yichang, Hubei; Tuo Rixin will put its main business in Leshan, Sichuan; Xingye Solar (00750.SZ) will not be able to get the land, and its main production capacity will be placed in Xiangtan, Hunan.
Until 2009, driven by national projects, some large power companies in Guangdong began to involve photovoltaic power generation, such as CGNPC, Yudean, China Southern Power Grid, and Guangdong Hydropower. However, compared with other provinces and cities in China, the development of Guangdong's photovoltaic industry and the construction of photovoltaic power plants are still relatively backward.
Shen Hui told the "New Industry" that the construction of rooftop photovoltaic power plants in Guangdong has obvious advantages. Guangzhou has many large-scale buildings suitable for installing photovoltaic systems, such as Pazhou Complex, Guangdong Science Center, University City, Asian Games City, Guangzhou South Railway Station and other large buildings. But there are only a handful of successful examples of photovoltaic power generation.
Advantage
Sayong lost his horse and knew that he was not blessed. Although Guangdong missed the seven-year gold development period, it also avoided the overcapacity caused by fanatic investment.
At present, the net loss of more than a dozen Chinese PV manufacturers listed in the US has exceeded billions of dollars, the debt is over 10 billion US dollars, and the average debt ratio is over 80%. To make matters worse, China's PV manufacturers are highly dependent on foreign countries. After the US and Europe launched the "double-reverse", China's leading PV manufacturers have all fallen into the situation of "internal and diplomatic difficulties."
It is estimated that under the containment of the United States and Europe, the overseas market available for Chinese PV manufacturers in 2013 is only about 10GW, which has become a recognized figure in the industry.
"From the overall environment, domestic PV companies have difficulties in internal and external affairs. The final result should be: some enterprises fail, industry mergers and reorganizations; photovoltaic power generation costs are reduced, and the time for large-scale application is coming." Shen Hui said that domestic demand will become domestic photovoltaic industry. The last hope of the future has also become an opportunity for the Guangdong PV industry.
Because Guangdong PV manufacturers are much healthier than domestic PV giants, although they are small in size. For example, Xingye Solar has been in the leading position in the construction of Golden Sun Engineering and Photovoltaic Building Project. In the first half of 2012, it achieved double income and net profit growth, with a profit of 140 million yuan. Guangdong Aikang's 2011 profit exceeded 100 million yuan. In profit.
“97% of Xingye Solar’s ​​revenue comes from the domestic market, and the export ratio is low. Now the photovoltaic winter cannot affect the solar energy of Xingye.†Shen Hui said.
Since September 2012, the National Energy Administration and the State Grid have successively issued policies to expand the installed capacity of the domestic market during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period and to achieve free grid connection throughout the entire process. According to SEMI data, the installed capacity of China's PV market is increasing year by year, and it is expected to account for 13% of the global market in 2016.
"With the gradual start of the domestic market, photovoltaic power plants are becoming a new investment hotspot." Shen Hui said that Guangdong has a number of excellent photovoltaic companies, plus Guangdong's abundant sunshine resources, good air cleanliness, and photovoltaic power generation. Advantages, "Guangdong photovoltaic power generation application is ahead of the country."
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